17.40 Kempton: Tides Reach @ 25/1 Bet365 - 1pt win
Competitive race and the horses towards the head of the market are all very solid contenders, but they are not unbeatable and there are a couple of bigger prices in the field that could be interesting if you forgive them the odd poor run. Most interesting price wise is Tides Reach for me. If you forgive her her most recent abysmal performance, you can see a rather consistent and progressive animal, thriving on the AW/quick ground. The run at Ffos Las came on bottomless ground, so it's easy to see a reason why she didn't perform that day. She wasn't far beaten in a small field at Windsor before following an impressive win in another small field. She won at Kempton last year over 7f but one mile isn't an issue, and now back here on this surface on only her second start, she is an interesting runner. With James Doyle in the saddle she also has the best possible assistance today, and for all of that she looks to have a better chance than her big price suggests.
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