Friday, September 12, 2014

PREVIEW: Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed)

16.25 Doncaster: Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed) - Carry On Deryeck: Won maiden on debut in impressive style, not getting a run until very late and coming from an impossible position. Merit of that form in question though. Small 4-runner field didn't seem to suit when stepped up into Listed company, saw plenty of daylight too early. Nicely bred and trip should suit.
Nafaqa: Impressive on debut in Listed race at RA. Missed the break completely but did well to finish fourth in very competitive race. Form works out strongly. Off the mark in maiden subsequently. Had to work hard for it though. Ground potentially slight concern. Nicely bred.
Peacock: Very impressive debut winner, strong form. Showed plenty of speed and raw power that day. Reared and subsequently bumped at start lto when up in trip and class. Clearly impacted by that and eased in closing stages. Deserves another chance.
Sea Wolf: Tough, genuine type. Won well on debut, good performances in subsequent starts against good opposition. Won small race lto first time over 7f. Should be happy in todays conditions.
Toocoolforschool: Won second time out, was very green on first two starts, didn't see to know to be a racehorse, looking around all time time. More professional lto in Group 3 upped in trip at York. Very keen early on and just beaten on the line in the end.
White Lake: Won York maiden in impressive style. Big move on outside and produced lovely turn of foot to put race to bed. Form threw up subsequent winners already. Should get further in time but seems to have enough speed.
Risen Sun: Won Debutant maiden easily, travelling strongly. Might have had the edge against poor opposition, but couldn't have been more impressive. Open to improvement and step up in trip should suit though.

Verdict: White Like makes plenty of appeal after a mightly strong debut. He's short enough in the betting though and there are plenty in with the potential for improvement. Toocoolforschool went close in a Group 3 lto and has obvious claims. But with not much form to offer and loads of guesswork required, I tend to think there is value to find in the bigger prices. I do like Mark Johnston's filly Risen Sun. Unclear what she beat on debut but she looked extremely impressive and upped in trip, which should suit on pedigree is open to plenty of improvement. I used to be a huge fan of Paco Boy and his son Peacock could well be better than his latest run. He impressed me on debut, beating the subsequent Chesham Stakes winner easily. Probably lost the race on his second start at the gate, and deserves another chance.

Peacock @ 16/1 Bet365 – 1pt win
Risen Sun @ 10/1 Ladbrokes – 1pt win

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