15.15 Doncaster: May Hill Stakes (Group 2) - Agnes Stewart: Won Fairyhouse maiden easily almost on bridle.Followed up with fine 2nd in strong Group 3 when inconvenienced by eventual winner right in front of him in home straight, changed legs several times in closing stages. Step up to 1mto suit very much on pedigree. Form works out extremely well.
Alonsoa: Won first two career starts,including Listed race. Disappointing in Group 3 lto but soft groundmight not suited at all as pedigree also rather pointing towardsquick ground. Nicely bred out of 1.000 Guineas 3rd andopen to improvement over new trip.
Astrelle: Progressive handicapper, notdisgraced in Group 3 lto. Needs to improve further for new trip.
Banzari: Decent debut when strongstaying on 2nd from off the pace. Step up in trip to suiton pedigree.
Bonnie Grey: Genuine and tough, good 2nd in Group 3 lto. Step up in trip not likely to suit on pedigree.
Muraaqaba: Won nicely on debut, unluckyat Ascot when hampered in closing stages when making move. ExcellentListed win lto. Clearly precocious and smart. Can get the trip andsets high standard here.
Shagah: Decent Goodwood maiden winner,couldn't follow up in Conditions Stakes at Ascot and plenty to findon form.
Surpreme Occasion: Good Handicap winner at Newcastle and strong performance of revised mark at York lto. Thisbig step up in class, more to come over new trip tough.
Verdict: Muraaqaba looks a rock solid favourite. New trip and ground are not quite sure to suit and I fancyAlonsoa to be able to turn the form around. She is progressive, hatedthe soft ground lto, but with a quicker going and the additionalfurlong very much to suit, she is one to take very seriously here.The Irish raider Agnes Stewart is another one I quite like. Extremelystrong performance in a very good Group 3 at Leopardstown is probablythe strongest form of all in this field. She bred to stay further, sothe new trip will very much suit.
Alonsoa @ 11/2 Sportingbet – 2pts win
Agnes Stewart @ 7/2 Sportingbet –3pts win
No comments :
Post a Comment