20.20 Kempton: Class 4 Handicap, 12f - Double Discount: Solid recent form, usually competitive and
consistent. Step up in trip needs to bring out improvement in order to win of
current mark. Not certain to stay trip. Weakened in closing stages when tried
once.
Cousin Khee: Won well in August over 14f, fine third down in trip at
Wolverhampton lto, Up another couple of pounds, career highest required, trip
potentially bit too sharp, good pace needed.
Bushel: Over hurdles this season, best performance most recent one in June.
Little break since then. Progressive over the flat last year, won 12f Handicap
at Ripon and strong 2nd in Ascot Handicap. Record over this trip indicates
he’ll be well suited by todays trip if fit and okay on AW, which should be
perfectly fine on strong US pedigree. Blinkered 1st time.
Modernism: Poor performing since May. Well beaten in all his last starts. Comes
down to handy mark now, below last
winning mark. Record indicates that he doesn’t stay 12f.
Soul Intent: Improving sort. Won well at Epsom back in July. Up in class and
mark but good AW record may improve again as revised mark not harsh.
Art Scholar: Won of much higher marks in the past and down to a low rating now,
but recent performances not indicating that he is up to winning at the moment.
Asia Minor: Progressive All-Weather performer. Not too much mileage on clock
for 5yo and not impossible to have still more on the plate. Found out for class
when seen in very hot class 2 Handicap in April.
Verdict: Very open looking race with plenty of valid contenders. Favourite Soul Intent could easily turn out to have still a couple of pounds in hand, but so could be the equally progressive Asia Minor and Bushel. The later one switches back to the flat after it didn't really work over hurdles for him. But he was very promising as three year old last season and ran big off one pound higher in a hot handicap last summer. With the perfect pedigree for the All-Weather, he looks a big price. Interesting is the filly Asia Minor too. She has a strong record on the All-Weather and can run big down in class against more appropriate opposition than when finishing down the field in much higher grade when last seen.
Bushel @ 10/1 Ladbrokes - 3pts win
Asia Minor @ 15/2 VC - 1pt win
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