15.55 Gowran Park: Denny Cordell Lavarack & Lanwades Stud Fillies Stakes (Group 3) - Interesting contest with some excellent horses in the line-up. Dermto Weld's Brooch seems the likeliest winner on paper and is a short priced favourite to land her first Group win. This 3yo filly showed loads of promise on debut when winning a maiden at Galway and she followed up nicely in Listed company at Killarney last month. There is surely more to come and she is must rate a big runner in this field. However she won't have it easy. Consistent Group level performer Odeliz is fine form and has some big performance against her name this season. The nature of the track at Gowran Park might count slightly against her as she comes usually from off the pace, as well as the ground is not hundred percent ideal over this trip is my feeling. Yet she will be thereabouts on pure form.
Regardez won a Listed race over 10f at Newcastle by a wide margin, and she followed up with another strong front-running performance York subsequently when she was beaten in 3rd a tight finish. That form looks really strong, and taking into account that Regardez is still in a phase where improvement is likely, she must be a big danger for all here today. Alive Alive Oh ran consistently well in recent weeks, without coming close to get her head in front. She didn't turn out to be the horse many thought she could be last year and on balance she has a good bit to find with a couple in this field. Akira was a bit unlucky in her latest runs and I feel she could win a Listed race over a mile, but this trip is a bit too far and the opposition too classy. Maggie Dalton finished strongly in a hot Curragh handicap in her latest start and she could be up to score at Listed level at some point, though it would be a major surprise if she is good enough today. Hard to fancy any of the other three remaining runners.
Verdict: If Brooch can progress further, she might turn out too good for all her rivals in this field. However good horses are first to beat, and I feel that Regardez could have things all her way up on front, which will play into her hands as she stays up to 10f well and the nature of the track will favour her running style. She has excellent form to offer, which is strong enough to suggest that she has every chance to run a big race.
Regardez @ 5/1 VC - 3pts win
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