Saturday, September 27, 2014

PREVIEW: Land Rover Nursery (Class 4)

15.20 Ripon: Land Rover Nursery (Class 4)


Bizarrio: Won maiden at Chester over 7f from front. Found out for class on handicap debut subsequently. Should be suited by step up in trip on pedigree. Stiff mark though for what he has achieved in maidens. 
Grey Sensation: Impressive maiden winner on penultimate start over 7f. Excused last time when beaten by smart winner and disadvantaged how race panned out, while travelling well actually. Got carried across the track from 2f out too. Step up in trip looks fine on pedigree. Potentially on lenient mark now.
Cape Hideaway: Very gutsy maiden winner over 7f lto. Pulling his way to the front, slightly outpaced 3f out and fought gamely on to the line. Fair opening mark. Up in trip looks possible, will need to learn to settle. 
Laidback Romeo: Not quite lucky last too times, not clear run for very long time on handicap debut recently, finished nicely. Not impossible to get trip with stamina on dam side. 
Lear'sRock: Excellent Handicap debut, made all, just beaten late on the line by closer. Up 3lb which seems fair. Form starts to work out. Step up to mile could work. 
Summer Stroll: Finished strongly in latest handicap when stuck in traffic for long time.. Seems rather exposed but judged on recent performance is clearly up to winning of current mark. Enough in pedigree to suggest step up in trip can bring out bit of improvement.

Verdict: Wide open race, plenty of chances and most horses trying the mile for the first time. Not unlikely to suit most, but also not clear that it does. Laidback Romeo was probably unlucky at Sandown recently, but as to prove stamina, as he was fading badly in a slowly 7f contest before. Grey Sensation is interesting, won well a maiden and was not quite suited the way the raxce was run in a strong handicap, down in class, he is a fine chance on balance. Lear's Rock did well from th e front when beaten late, but new trip and higher mark is something to be cautious about I feel. Bizarrio needs to bounce back. Summer Stroll as the bottom weights makes plenty of appeal over the new trip to suit and with the recent strong performance in a hot handicap, even though he is the one with most mileage under the belt. He seems rather big in the market as he should have as good a chance as anybody. Completely overlooked seems Cape Hideaway- Ground and trip as slight concerns, but he showed loads of guts when winning a decent Thirsk maiden, which form looks solid with the second having won subsequently. 

Summer Stroll @ 7/1 Betfred – 2pts win
Cape Hideaway @ 16/1 Sportingbet – 1pt win

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