19.10 Kempton: Class 4 Handicap, 1m - Pretty interesting handicap for three year olds. Plenty of promising types in the race. The obvious one is Godolphin's Holiday Magic. Improved with every start, and off the mark with a fine front-running performance over course and distance a fortnight ago. Opening mark seems fair and more improvement to come. It has to be said, that he had pretty much the run of the race since he was in front. I kind of like Clive Brittain's Surety. Slightly exposed and not really close to win yet, but shaped with promise and with talented 5lb claimer on board, in with a chance. Kubeba on his handicap debut is not out of it either due to a fair mark, but needs to find improvement to turn the form around with Holiday Magic from his recent maiden.
In the same race there was one hugely eye-catching performance though, which came from Luca Cumani's Frederic. He has a decent pedigree, is related to plenty of winners, and shaped with an awful lot of promise on his first All-Weather start. He was quite unlucky not to finish closer than the 1¼ down in 3rd in the end. He was stuck in traffic once the field approached the home turn and was badly bumped around 2f out. He got eventually into the clear and finished super strongly under a pretty light hands and heels ride. Frederic is bred to stay further and I'm sure he will need a step up to 10f rather sooner than later. But for now a mile should fine, considering that the opening mark off 73 looks very lenient. With a clear run, I do fancy him to turn the form around with Holiday Magic.
Frederic @ 4/1 Bet365 - 3pts win
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It's not news anymore but still something to celebrate - our last selection, Ansgar - advised below at 7/1, won the Park Stakes at Doncaster in fine style from the front. A trip to Dubai could be next on the agenda form him now.
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