15.15 Newcastle: Class 4 Handicap, 12f
Hesketh Bank: Lightly raced and might have still bit left. Excuses for latest poor showing. Won good race before. However mark seems high enough at the moment.
Intense Tango: Good performance over further in hot handicap. Won before over 12f a similar race. Further up in the mark but can still improve. Trip and ground fine.
Clear Spell: Showed fine form in recent weeks. Won at Hamilton over 11f and placed twice subsequently. Not sure additional furlong will suit.
Ryeolliean: Up in trip and down in mark. Not impossible to show more under those conditions today but not entirely sure to stay the trip.
Chivers: Stays trip and beyond. Won two races this year. Drying ground over this trip and high enough mark could make life tough.
Tactical Strike: Best performance came on handicap debut, hasn’t shown much in five starts otherwise. Hard to fancy on form.
Verdict: I can only see Intense Tango and Hesketh Bank really good enough to win this, on form at least. With those rather unexposed three year olds you never quite know what you get but it is hard to see any of the others emerging as a potent winning candidate based on form and race conditions. Intense Tango is a pretty short favourite and there is clear evidence in the form book why. But I feel Hesketh Bank offers equally strong form. His Musselburgh success is the best form in the field, and while he is much higher in the mark now, it is not impossible that he can progress again. His latest effort at Ascot is excusable when nothing went for him and he raced awkwardly. If he can leave that performance behind, he should go really close today.
Hesketh Bank @ 5/1 Betfred
-NR-
-NR-
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