Wednesday, July 9, 2014

NAP Of The Day: Wednesday 9th July 2014

Gang Warfare
20.50 Kempton: Class 4 Handicap, 11 furlongs - Thecornishcowboy seems an obvious chance in this race after quite a successful spell in recent weeks, exploiting the handicap system and his low mark. But I feel he has reached his the maximum of what he is capable and there are some other good horses in this field that are capable of improving further and beyond him. Cousin Khee will be in with a big chance for example. He is well treated of his current mark back on the All-Weather. The trip might be a bit short for him though. Artful Rogue is still lightly raced and open for improvement. Hasn't won yet but most recent performance at Goodwood wasn't too bad and off a low mark switched to the All-Weather, he could improve enough to be in with a shout. Little Buxted was beaten at Kempton over 10f back in November only by a very tight margin. He is two pounds lowe in the mark today and the trip will suit. Still more to come and with Queally in the saddle, he's an obvious contender. 

From the two handicap débutantes, Gang Warfare makes certainly most appeal. Tacticus is hard to judge on his first three outings and therefore hard to fancy, but Gang Warfare ticks plenty of boxes now switched to handicaps and particularly stepping up markedly in trip. A 40.000 Guineas yearling, lightly raced with nice pedigree - the surface is a concern, but he showed plenty to like in his maidens over 1 mile, staying on strongly in his last two starts. There is plenty of stamina on his sire side, who can get top class horses up to 12f, and he's out of a Fantastic Light mare who won a Listed race over 12f. On pedigree he should very much relish the extra distance and is quite nicely bread which does suggest that his opening mark of 74 could be extremely lenient. Given that some horses have got opening marks of high eighties for much less, Gang Warfare is an obvious choice in this race and should be hard to beat if all goes smoothly in-running. --- Gang Warfare @ 5/1 William Hill - 4pts win

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