Tuesday, August 19, 2014

NAP Of The Day - Tuesday 19th August 2014

19.00 Leicester: Class 4 Handicap - I have to take on the favourite in this race. Endless Credit has a good chance on recent form to go well, but might be simply found out for speed since form and breeding suggests he's more of a 10f horse than a miler. Three year old Express Himself is clearly in excellent form and must rate a big chance, only 1lb higher than at his recent strong Epsom performance, but not sure if the drop in trip ideal and he's plenty short enough. There seems to be a good deal of pace in this race, with the Maverik, Ocean Storm and Henry The Aviator likely to fight for the lead. All three like to go from the front, and that should ensure it'll be no crawl today. Siouxperhero is on a four timer and clearly in good nick. This is much harder than what he encountered in all his recent starts and I find it hard to see this actually quite exposed horse to step up to the level of form required to be really competitive in this. 

I do however feel that Postscript makes plenty of appeal at 9/1. Usually he's much shorter in races like this when he has conditions in favour, i.e. fast ground. He is not in bad form at all, was not quite suited by the soft ground at Haydock last time out though and is better judged on the two fine performances before. On past form he rates a big chance today, with the fast ground provided he likes so much. He won off 85 and 87 last year good Handicaps, and rated at 84 at the moment, he must have a very good chance to run his race, as there is no indication that he isn't worth this mark. He should be suited by the quick pace too, so on balance, he's quite a big price in my mind.

Postscript @ 9/1 VC - 2pts win

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