Thursday, August 7, 2014

NAP Of The Day - Thursday 7th of August 2014

16.20 Brighton: Class 4 Handicap, 10f - From a handicapping point of view this race should evolve around the two three year olds. The short favourite Ejadah seems progressive and won extremely well at Haydock last month. She is subsequently nine pounds up for that performance but this might not be the end for her. 

However she has to be taken on trust to stay the 10f trip at a track like Brighton where you definitely need to stay to be able to survive the final furlong up the hill. Ejadah has won only over 1m so far, and didn't seem to get quite home in her sole 10f start. Her pedigree also isn't too supportive in that sense. Another question mark is the ground. Her best performances came with cut in the ground. Can she transform her best to the quick surface that she is likely to encounter today? 

The other three year old in the line-up, Sequined, makes plenty of appeal. She was a good deal beaten in her most recent outing at Newmarket over 1m in 3rd, but she stayed on well. The step up to 10f will definitely suit, as she has won at Lingfield over this trip before, and her pedigree is clearly pointing in this direction. She is in fact nicely bred, sired by a Dubai World Cup winner, out of an Irish Oaks runner-up. So the trip should be fine, the quick ground not an issue and with only four starts to her name to date, on her second turf start, there is plenty more to come. With the weight for age allowance, Sequined must have a big chance to win in this field.

From the older horses, Yojojo makes a bit of appeal of her reduced mark. She goes well at Brighton, but has still to give allot of weight away to her younger rivals. Who's That Chick can make use of her featherweight and is in excellent form lately, while Taro Tywod is hard to fancy. 

Verdict: Sequined has an excellent opportunity to take her young career to the next level. Conditions are sure to suit and the weights are in her favour. She is a nice price considering to have so much going for herself and I feel she should be at the top of the market. 

Sequined @ 5/2 Betfred - 4pts win

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