20.25 Chepstow: Class 6 Handicap - Brutal race, conditions at Chepstow aren't much better. Even for a low-grade handicap, this is quite a horrible line-up of unsuccessful horses. One would think that this is normally something for an improving 3yo, but the young generation looks shockingly poor in this field. well, the favourite Last Echo has at least the assistance of Silvestre De Sousa in the saddle, but hasn't shown anything that would instill some confidence in backing this filly for a short price, bar the fact that a 3yo with a featherweight - which probably is already enough to count this one as one of the more likely sorts here. Ground can be an issue though. It's raining all day long and we have a soft surface at Chepstow. So it probably will be a bit of a staying contest.
Not quite sure who will really relish the ground here today, but I feel Bison Grass could be the one who has a bit to offer from a career lowest mark. Still rather lightly raced, his best career form came on good to soft. He tries the 12f trip for the first time today. On pedigree this should perfectly suit and might bring out the tick improvement that is enough to win comfortably this race, as long as he gets the ground, which I think on all the known evidence, is rather likely. First time visor should keep him focused, and also raises hopes for a bit progress. With all that in mind, he seems a big price in this field.
Bison Grass @ 8/1 StanJames - 2pts win
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