Sunday, July 6, 2014

NAP Of The Day - Monday 7th July 2014

15.30 Ayr - Jazz @ 5/1 Bet365 - 3pts win: Competitive 7f handicap in its own right with some decent horses in the line-up. However I feel the 3yo colt Jazz has a very fine chance to finally win in handicap company for the first time. He seems already a bit exposed with 14 starts to his name, however the 7f trip is quite unknown territory. In his only start over this distance came in a pretty strong class handicap where he finished good third against some excellent opposition. On that evidence it is hard to say if he really gets the trip, but on pedigree he certainly has every chance to stay that far and in fact pull out some further improvement. At Doncaster over 6f lto he was quite unlucky in my mind, when he didn't get a run at a crucial stage of the race, and he lost position as a result, however once getting out, he finished the race very well under hands and heels, suggesting that a step up in trip is very much what he wants. Considering that he is the highest rated horse in this field, with potentially more to come, he must be extremely well weighted and with his trainer having a fine record at Ayr, I firmly believe that, he is the horse to beat. 

Main danger could be Order Of Service, who won nicely over 7f on his penultimate start and was just caught in the dying moments of the race at Ayr today, over 1m. He'll apreciate the drop in trip and can race off the same mark. However he steps up in class and had a two fairly hard races in quick succession already, this tomorrow could be potentially too much. with that in mind, Jazz is a confident selection to win this race.

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Sundays NAP Due And Payable won nicely for us at 4/1. He trailed the field under a patient ride and when the false rail opened up vital space, he took his chance and quickened nicely. Only hands and heels were required to steer him to an easy success. 

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