No 'luck' today whatsoever. All three selections ran very well and gave me a run for the money, they didn't come really close to win it, though. All three selections finished 3rd in the end, which is close, but obviously not close enough unfortunately. I thought Arctic Lynx was a bit unlucky as he had some in-running trouble and would have gone a bit closer with a clear run I suppose. What means he's one to keep an eye on if turned out the next time.
14.00 Catterick: Just Paul @ 6/1 Bet365 - 3 pts win
I totally ignore his first three starts in maidens as it makes much more sense to judge the horse on its most recent run, the first one in handicap company. I thought that was a pretty interesting performance as he bounced well out off the gates actually but was then badly bumped in to the rails by another horse in the early stages of the race and as a result of this he lost his good early position and was relegated to the rear of the field which was an awful place to be that day at Catterick as almost all winners at this meeting won their races from the front or prominently ridden. Just Paul though travelled smartly through the race nonetheless till 2f out and made some good progress on the inside rail in the closing stages, however the leaders where gone and not to catch. He finished third in the end as the best one of the horses coming from the rear of the field and I think this was a very decent performance taking all the circumstances into account. He remains on the same mark for tomorrow but drops in distance. That looks not entirely in his favour according to his pedigree but his sire won over 5f & 6f as a 2yo and also showed a preference for softish going which will be encountered at Catterick tomorrow. So that should be definitely in favour for Just Paul then who also drops down in to class 6 here tomorrow which is a really poor race anyway while his good performance lto came in a solid class 4 nursery. With further improvement expected on his only fifth start and with conditions likely to suit I think he can give young apprentice David Bergin a first success at Catterick.
20.00 Wolverhampton: Xinbama @ 12/1 Bet365 - 2pts win
Simply don't understand the price for Xinbama who comes into the race after two eye-catching performances. I thought he ran a mighty race at Sandown when he was a clear run denied over 3f out yet finished strongly when finally in the clear in a good class 4 Handicap, while he was also not the luckiest one at Wolverhampton last time out when he found life really difficult in the home straight, though he ran on very well when he had the room to do so. Both performances gave me the impression that he's in excellent form and well able to win of his current handicap mark, while the handicapper obviously doesn't agree with me as Xinbama dropped 2lb since the Sandown run. I'm not complaining about this though. He's now 2lb below his last winning mark even though this success came on turf at Beverly, but he has also winning form on the All-Weather to offer. Wolverhampton can be often a nightmare for horses that coming from behind like Xinbama and this is actually not a bad race if you consider that it is only a class 5 handicap for 3yo at Wolverhampton on a Tuesday night, but I think the price is a good deal too big for his chance here anyway.
I totally ignore his first three starts in maidens as it makes much more sense to judge the horse on its most recent run, the first one in handicap company. I thought that was a pretty interesting performance as he bounced well out off the gates actually but was then badly bumped in to the rails by another horse in the early stages of the race and as a result of this he lost his good early position and was relegated to the rear of the field which was an awful place to be that day at Catterick as almost all winners at this meeting won their races from the front or prominently ridden. Just Paul though travelled smartly through the race nonetheless till 2f out and made some good progress on the inside rail in the closing stages, however the leaders where gone and not to catch. He finished third in the end as the best one of the horses coming from the rear of the field and I think this was a very decent performance taking all the circumstances into account. He remains on the same mark for tomorrow but drops in distance. That looks not entirely in his favour according to his pedigree but his sire won over 5f & 6f as a 2yo and also showed a preference for softish going which will be encountered at Catterick tomorrow. So that should be definitely in favour for Just Paul then who also drops down in to class 6 here tomorrow which is a really poor race anyway while his good performance lto came in a solid class 4 nursery. With further improvement expected on his only fifth start and with conditions likely to suit I think he can give young apprentice David Bergin a first success at Catterick.
20.00 Wolverhampton: Xinbama @ 12/1 Bet365 - 2pts win
Simply don't understand the price for Xinbama who comes into the race after two eye-catching performances. I thought he ran a mighty race at Sandown when he was a clear run denied over 3f out yet finished strongly when finally in the clear in a good class 4 Handicap, while he was also not the luckiest one at Wolverhampton last time out when he found life really difficult in the home straight, though he ran on very well when he had the room to do so. Both performances gave me the impression that he's in excellent form and well able to win of his current handicap mark, while the handicapper obviously doesn't agree with me as Xinbama dropped 2lb since the Sandown run. I'm not complaining about this though. He's now 2lb below his last winning mark even though this success came on turf at Beverly, but he has also winning form on the All-Weather to offer. Wolverhampton can be often a nightmare for horses that coming from behind like Xinbama and this is actually not a bad race if you consider that it is only a class 5 handicap for 3yo at Wolverhampton on a Tuesday night, but I think the price is a good deal too big for his chance here anyway.
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