Saturday, October 27, 2012

Kingsbarns new Derby favourite...

Kingsbarns - winner of the Racingpost Trophy
Things worked to perfection today. Two selections = Two wins! Can't be much better. Kittens ran out an impressive winner at Wolverhampton despite being ridden way off the pace which brought her in a bit of trouble turning for home but she got a clear run on the outside eventually and had just too much in hand. She's won easily in the end. I think she's well able to win again but lets wait what the handicapper has to say about this performance. 

Highlight of the day though was the Racingpost Trophy at Doncaster of course. I felt quite bullish about Kingsbarns chances - and rightly so as we know now after the race. He travelled like a dream, quickened nicely and won well enough in the end, even though he was very green and inexperienced. But no wonder as this was only his secondcareer  start. He will improve massively for this run and looks an exciting prospect indeed. The bookies reacted in dramatic fashion, installing him the 4/1 favourite for the Derby next year, best priced with Ladbrokes at 8/1. I'm certainly not tempted at this price and I'm not quite sure if he's a Derby horse but I'm pretty sure that he is a very, very good horse that has a great future. 

After a losing run of seven consecutive bets this was important today. I was very confident in both horses and I have full confidence in my methods. Since the restart of the blog everything works very well and the first full month resulted in a fine profit of 53.50pts from 38 bets. That is very satisfying to see, though I'm not quite happy with the strike rate. This is something I have to address and to work on.

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