Sunday, October 7, 2012

Monday 8th of October 2012...

16.00 Wolverhampton: Arctic Lynx @ 7/1 Betfair - 2pts win

He looked a bit high in the weights this summer but his most recent performance in a ultra competitive sprint at Sandown really caught my eye indeed. He was a bit outpaced in the middle of the race bust still travelled okay till 2f out or so when he had though a wall of horses in front of him and nowhere to go. He switched to the inside eventually and finished the race nicely only hands and heels ridden and surly could have gone closer with a clear run. This was a pretty messy race but the form works out really well with Face The Problem being subsequently placed and also a winner in very hot class 2 sprints and subsequent winners Kyleakin Lass & Ajjaadd. Arctic Lynx drops in class today, back in a class 4 Handicap and he goes up in distance, back over 6f - all his wins came over this distance so this should definitely suit - he's done well on the All-Weather in recent years as well and also drops 2lb in the mark. In addition he has the very talented apprentice Michael J M Murphy in the saddle who takes off another 5lb and which must give Arctic Lynx all in all a massive chance here today. The wide draw, though, can be a bit tricky sometimes at Wolverhampton and it looks a competitive race, therefore I make it only a 2pts win bet.



16.50 Windsor: Hurricane Lady @ 5/1 VC - 3pts win

Very impressive performance at Leicester last time out for Hurricane Lady who raced in rear of the field and travelled like a dream for a long time till she kicked quite easily away from the rest of the field in the final furlong. She looked to have a bit in hand and is obviously very much back in form. She went only 6lb up in the mark for this really comfortable win which looks pretty lenient to me. Sure, she has to overcome a career highest mark and takes a step up in class but she travelled and won so smartly two weeks ago that I'm expecting a big performance again. Soft conditions should be in her favour anyway and she ran a super race here at Windsor last year when she was unlucky to finish only a half a lengths beaten second. So track is fine as well and I feel she is a pretty big price for all that actually.



17.00 Wolverhampton: Quiet Appeal @ 7/1 Bet365 - 2 pts win

Quiet Appeal really comes down to a very handy mark now again and being back on the All-Weather will surly help her to be competitive tomorrow. I think her recent forms are largely to ignore as last time out for example she raced on bottomless ground at Hamilton, something she doesn't like at all and she was really keen and pulling hard in the early stages of the race either. That must have cost valuable energy therefore it was no surprise to see her well beaten in the end. But she is now 5lb below her last winning mark, which came on a sound surface at Beverly earlier the year and one pound below her last AW winning mark. She usually runs very well on the All-Weather anyway and has already won over course and distance. She should go well tomorrow I think.

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