Had the most horrible day punting wise one can imagine yesterday. Just horrible. Well, that's the way the game works sometimes. You put in hours and hours of work, and you get absolutely nothing back... not even a run for the money. Anyway, something to look forward today of course, because it is the big one looming - the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe.
I'm not in the mood to write a mega big preview, also lacking the time. But for days now I have one horse in mind for this race, which I actually didn't fancy at all soon after he won his prep race recently. Which is strange. Obvious things aren't as obvious sometimes, if you not look properly. But initial thoughts aren't always the best. Because they are reactions, and thought through. It takes time to think things through, and sometimes perceptions can change. So happend in the case of this particular horse. I'm talking about Ruler Of The World.
He's not the sexy horse in the line-up. Far from it. That are Taghrooda and Ectot. The thee year old generation. For a good reason. They are top class horses and have a proven themselves this season. But they are shot enough in the betting, because every man and his dog are keen on their chance. And that is funny, isn't it? Ruler Of The World won his prep run in the Prix Foy really nicely from the front. Yet he appears to be the forgotten horse. Mind you, he is a former Derby winner. Some say, a poor one. And I thought so too for a while. Anyway, as said before, immediately after the Foy, I wasn't impressed at all. It was just a pure feeling, nothing properly thought through. I have a different perception now.
Mainly, because I feel he is the horse that will most likely get the run of the race - exactly the way he wants it. From an inch perfect draw (6), he'll be able to track the pace which will ensure he is in the right position when it matters. He won't need to hope for luck, he won't need to use valuable energy travelling wide. Pilot Dettori can kick on whenever he feel it is right. And then whe know ROTW will stay and run strongly to the line. Once hitting the front, he may be very hard to peg back. Well, that is the ideal scenario and we know racing doesn't work always like that. But, taking all that into consideration, he is certainly a very big price at 16/1. One addition point to make. He is a fresh horse. It will only his third start this season. That is a difference to most of his rivals, which had a long, though season, where they have fought many tough battles. A fresh Ruler Of The World, with the potential of getting the perfect run - that makes him a huge chance in my mind.
Ruler Of The World @ 16/1 Bet365 -2pts win
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