17.30 Windsor: Robin Hood @ 14/1 Bet365 - 1pt win
Wrote the following below about Robin Hood before his most recent start at Ascot. I applies to his chance tomorrow as well. He's back over 10f, and I'm not quite sure if that is what he wants but he gets a huge chance by the handicapper, getting 5lb off his mark. I thought he didn't run too badly at Ascot, even though it he was never close enough to be dangerous. But he remains an interesting horse, now dangerously well handicapped, and Windsor might be the ideal track to apply front-running tactics with this horse again.
"I thought Robin Hood ran a pretty fine race at Newbury in a competitive Handicap lto. He was outpaced from 4f out, and looked likely to finish at the back of the field. But he kept going and ran on really well in the final furlong to finish a decent 5th in the end. He's slipping further down in the mark nonetheless and is down to a very handy mark now I feel. Before he was mainly used a pacemaker for the big Ballydoyle guns he actually was quite a decent horse in his own right, finishing 2nd in the Group 2 Beresford Stakes as a 2yo. He had his problems after that, and appeared on the racetrack 16 month later again, then in a Handicap at Leopardstown, when he made all to win from the front in good style of a mark of 90. This was still last year, and now 7lb lower, he might be very dangerous on a good day. Even more so back over 12f, as I think this is more his trip as he's a Galileo and his dam won over 2m. I'd like to see him ridden more prominently again tomorrow and think he could spring a surprise here then over this sort of trip of his low mark."
17.35 Redcar: Looks Like Rain @ 7/2 Bet365 - 4pts win
This looks a bit like a penalty kick for Looks Like Rain to me. All she needs is a clear run, then I expect her to hack up tomorrow in this race. She was so unlucky three weeks ago at Newcastle, yet finished the race really strongly despite all the trouble, in the manner of a horse that has a couple of pounds in hand. In that particular race she got outpaced 4f out but made then some nice headway on the inside. To be in that position proofed fatal as she found herself short of room there due to a tiring front-runner. She almost landed in the rails, lost clearly her balance but stuck to the task, fought bravely for position to get finally in the clear. Once straighten up she finished like a train but the bird was flown already. With a trouble free run she would have gone very close though I think. She steps up further in trip tomorrow, is back over 1m 6f what should very much suit as well as she drops in class. Ground should be perfectly fine for her and the 2lb raise in the mark shouldn't make too much of a difference. She really should prove too good for the rest in this field with conditions to suit over this sort of trip.
Wrote the following below about Robin Hood before his most recent start at Ascot. I applies to his chance tomorrow as well. He's back over 10f, and I'm not quite sure if that is what he wants but he gets a huge chance by the handicapper, getting 5lb off his mark. I thought he didn't run too badly at Ascot, even though it he was never close enough to be dangerous. But he remains an interesting horse, now dangerously well handicapped, and Windsor might be the ideal track to apply front-running tactics with this horse again.
"I thought Robin Hood ran a pretty fine race at Newbury in a competitive Handicap lto. He was outpaced from 4f out, and looked likely to finish at the back of the field. But he kept going and ran on really well in the final furlong to finish a decent 5th in the end. He's slipping further down in the mark nonetheless and is down to a very handy mark now I feel. Before he was mainly used a pacemaker for the big Ballydoyle guns he actually was quite a decent horse in his own right, finishing 2nd in the Group 2 Beresford Stakes as a 2yo. He had his problems after that, and appeared on the racetrack 16 month later again, then in a Handicap at Leopardstown, when he made all to win from the front in good style of a mark of 90. This was still last year, and now 7lb lower, he might be very dangerous on a good day. Even more so back over 12f, as I think this is more his trip as he's a Galileo and his dam won over 2m. I'd like to see him ridden more prominently again tomorrow and think he could spring a surprise here then over this sort of trip of his low mark."
17.35 Redcar: Looks Like Rain @ 7/2 Bet365 - 4pts win
This looks a bit like a penalty kick for Looks Like Rain to me. All she needs is a clear run, then I expect her to hack up tomorrow in this race. She was so unlucky three weeks ago at Newcastle, yet finished the race really strongly despite all the trouble, in the manner of a horse that has a couple of pounds in hand. In that particular race she got outpaced 4f out but made then some nice headway on the inside. To be in that position proofed fatal as she found herself short of room there due to a tiring front-runner. She almost landed in the rails, lost clearly her balance but stuck to the task, fought bravely for position to get finally in the clear. Once straighten up she finished like a train but the bird was flown already. With a trouble free run she would have gone very close though I think. She steps up further in trip tomorrow, is back over 1m 6f what should very much suit as well as she drops in class. Ground should be perfectly fine for her and the 2lb raise in the mark shouldn't make too much of a difference. She really should prove too good for the rest in this field with conditions to suit over this sort of trip.
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