Thursday, May 23, 2013

Friday the 24th of May...

14.35 Goodwood: Magic City @ 16/1 PP 1pt win + Harrison George @ 12/1 Bet365 - 1pt win

 Harrison George's recognizable face 
Just wondering about the prices for these two horses. Both made it into my notebook thanks to their most recent performances, which were quite eye-catching I thought. Harrison George ran a big race over rather too short 6f at Newbury just six days ago. He was right up with pace early on, but lost position over 3f out when a horse crossed his way, he was then a bit in a pocket and and was unable to react immediately to the pace increase, soon after he got outpaced himself, though he recovered and finished strongly in 5th eventually. This came in a way stronger race than the one he's contesting in tomorrow, as he drops down into class 4 company again. He confirmed with that run the fine form he was showing in recent time, as he was unlucky at Lingfield before, when he looked the winner 50m out or so until a fast finisher got to him and denied him narrowly. He gets the assistance of useful apprentice Robert Tart, and back over 7f, of a handy looking mark, I expect him to run a good race again. He has a better chance of winning this than the price suggest, in my mind anyway.

Magic City travelled like a dream on his seasonal reappearance at Leicester last month. He was on the bridle until 2f out, going much the strongest, however travelling in rear proved fatal, as the leading pair was not too catch and nothing was able to stay on from behind in that race. The jockey realized this soon and eased Magic City down. He is way better than this form no doubt, as he showed promise as a 2yo, competing in some really competitive races. He was seen on a racetrack only twice last year, not very successful appearances, and he dropped now down to a very low looking mark. He could be easily better than that, and with 5lb claimer WT Davies booked, he really should be right in the mix when it matters tomorrow. 



16.30 Yarmouth: Bin Singspiel @ 11/2 Paddy Power - 2pts win

Looks a really competitive affair this race, but that makes Bin Singspiel an interesting runner here going handicapping for the first time of a significant lower weight than the other market principles. But there is more about him: He knocked on the door twice in maidens, when finishing very impressively at Wolverhampton in November last year, when he had all but clearly not the run of the race, when he was beaten on the line eventually. He started his 3yo campaign at Yarmouth a few weeks ago in a maiden, and while he was under pressure from 4f out, badly outpaced, he showed a lovely attitude and stayed on well to finish 2nd in the end. Obviously he's crying out for a step up in trip and this will be provided tomorrow on his first handicap start. His opening mark of 72 looks more than fair and he could be better than that, particularly over this longer trip.

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