Sunday, February 1, 2015

Sunday Horses - 1st February 2015

13.50 Chelmsford: Class 4 Handicap, 1 mile

Bow And Arrow: Back after half year absence. Won maiden back in August nicely, drawing clear. Should take to new trip. Fair opening mark. 
Thanksgiving Day: Consistent miler. Neck beaten last month at Lingfield, won well off 8lb lower at Kempton good Nursery. Wants to lead.
Golden Highway: Fair debut winner over CD ten days ago. Probably wants further in time. Will enjoy good pace. 
Logorrheic: Good maiden winner at Kempton in November. Off since. 

Interesting little race which does evolve around the odds-on favourite. Bow And Arrow won well a 7f Kempton maiden back in August last year, a form that works out fairly well. He looked that day not the speediest but drew clear in the final furlong, suggesting that a step up in trip will suit, so does his pedigree. So up in trip today must be a plus. Question mark is obviously fitness and if he has trained on over the winter. Also while his opening mark looks fair, it is not a given that he is really up to, as the maiden he won, was a rather dismal one. 

Potentially this will be a pretty fast ride, which most of the four runners enjoying to be up with the pace if not making it all. Thanksgiving Day has excellent form in his book and was just narrowly denied at Lingfield recently. Another 2lb up for that, but he is likely to give another good account and at least is one who is trusted to be up to his current mark. Golden Highway and Logorrheic both won maiden races, while the later one has been off since Novembr after his Kempton win, when he enjoyed very much the run of the race. An opening mark may not beyond him, but doesn’t look overly generous either. 

Same applies for Golden Highway, who has been allotted a mark off 78 for his recent course and distance success. However he’s the least exposed and showed good attitude here last time. A race probably not quite run to suit him from a pace perspective, he battled hard and drew clear eventually. He may need further fairly soon, should however enjoy the likely good pace today. If he is up to his opening remains to be seen as he didn’t beat much here last time. In this rather open looking race, he’s the 6/1 outsider of the field, and that looks too big.


Selection: Golden Highway @ 6/1 VC - 5pts win



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15.50 Chelmsford: Class 5 Handicap, 1m 5f

- Kingscombe: Southwell specialist, all career wins there of up to 2m, 5lb above last winning mark.
- Wordiness: Last win almost 2y ago. Still 2lb above this last winning mark. Off since October 2013.
- Taaresh: Good winner over 12f at Kempton in December. 2lb up. Additional furlong shouldn’t be a problem.
- Celestial Bay: Runaway winner at Lingfield in December.Couple of fair efforts since then. Runner-up over 12f at Wolverhampton last week. Looks in grip of Handicapper.
- Jarlath: Couple of turf wins last year, back after break. Won fresh in the past. Career best required.
- Karam Albaari: Excellent run in defeat over 2m here last month. 2lb up in the mark but won off higher in the past. 
- Arashi: Prolifice 2 miler in low grade Handicaps. Fair recent form but in grip of the handicapper. 

Karam Albaari looks the logical winner with his recent strong course run. Dropping in trip shouldn't be an issue. That was clear return to form. If he can be trusted to repeat it, is another question. Consistent Taaresh has been winning three of his last four starts, most recently over 12f at Kempton where he seemed to be always under control, despite the right winning margin. Two pounds up looks far from harsh and the additional furlong shouldn't pose a problem. 

Taarsh @ 13/2 VC - 5pts win

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