Tuesday, January 27, 2015

Quick Tip - Tuesday 27th January 2015

16.10 Southwell: Class 6 Handica, 7f - This is a very weak race and that pulls it wide open for anyone to win. Hard to trust the horses at the head of the market and for that reason I give the seasoned veteran Cyflymder a chance to run a big race. He hasn't won in five starts here at Southwell, however he performed well here in the past when placed, so the surface isn't an issue. 

He comes down to a more realistic mark again now, after he went up in the summer for success at Lingfield. He is 1lb above this last winning mark but has been a fine runner-up only half a lengths beaten off 2lb higher subsequently in August. So off 51 he is clearly in with a shout and his record over 7f gives him a very fair chance today to be a big runner in this field. I would expect him to share the lead for most parts of the race probably, but given the fact that he stays further, it may work to his advantage and he may be able to pull out a bit more from the front when it matters. 

Selection: Cyflymder @ 20/1 VC

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