4.45 Wolverhampton: Class 6 Handicap, 12f - Wide open race, many exposed runners, so it is obvious why Steve Rogers is heading the market. A son of the late Montjeu, stepping up considerably on handicap debut - he must have a really good chance to go close in this field. A mark of 62 is however not particularly lenient, for what he has shown to date and I feel the expected improvement is already very much reflected in the price. Arashi has a chance to follow-up on a recent strong performance, with the weight in favour today. However the drop in trip may not suit all too well. Most interesting runner is the lightly raced five year old gelding Sheila's Heart. He is still a maiden but showed promise in most of his races.
The drop in trip back to 12f should be ideal today and with the mark slipping further, he is one to take seriously with cheek-pieces fitted for the first time. They may well make a difference, and if they can squeeze out just a bit improvement, then Sheila's Heart will go close. The booking of 7lb claimer Aaron Jones is a big bonus. Not only is his claim a benefit, but this young man is red hot at the moment and riding extremely well for his weight allowance. I expect Sheila's Heart to leave all his ordinary forms behind today and be right there when it matters.
Sheila's Heart @10/1 William Hill
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