14.35 Lingfield: Handicap (Class 2)
Viewpoint: CD Winner, Last career win came over 12f here. Not a particularly good summer in big handicaps over the summer. Back on the AW will help, but on a high enough mark.
Castilo Del Diablo: Course winner over 12f, excelled on the AW over further in spring. Not seen since April. Trip probably too sharp and will come on for run.
Maverick Wave: Well bred & generally lightly raced, 3rd in hot Handicap over 9,5f at Wolverhampton. Talented and more to come but concern over trip and stamina up to 10f now.
Energia Fox: Brazilian import. Second in G1 earlier this year back home. Two 3rd places in Listed company since racing in UK. Surface unknown and might be better suited to further.
Lyn Valley: Decent handicapper, won Doncaster class 2 in July, disappointing in two most recent start. Little break. AW debut. Should be well suited on pedigree but career highest required.
Dominandros: Won twice in France this year, including maiden on AW. Not disgraced when 5th in hot AW conditions stakes over 1m at Chantilly last month. Return to 10f may suit.
Verdict: I was very sweet on Maverick Wave the last time he was seen at Wolverhampton. He was backed off the boards that day - exactly the same happening this morning - but I felt he was rather disappointing the way he finished the race, having it on his mercy turning for home. My concern back then was that he may not quite stay the trip, which was what happened. He goes up an additional half furlong today. While it is not impossible that he finds the required improvement given that he is well bred and lightly raced, I find it hard to have enough confidence to back him for a very short price. However in this small field, the pace might be not as relentless as the last time, which should suit him. Nonetheless, 5/4 seems way too short. The Brazilian import Energia Fox is a very interesting runner if she is able to handle the All-Weather. She looks talented enough and is potentially on a very fair mark. The trip might be a bit too sharp though, and on pedigree I can't find too much that makes me confident that polytrack is her surface. So today I'm going to avoid her. I suspect that Castilo Del Diablo will use this run as a stepping stone after abscence, and Viewpoint may well be competitive, but is by no means well handicapped. The two horses towards the rear of the betting are very interesting though. Lyn Valley has the pedigree to excel on the All-Weather. He's been a decent handicapper, won a good handicap this year and may a horse that can improve now switched to synthetics. He is high enough in the mark but could easily outrun his price tag. The same counts for Dominandros, who is a bit an unknown quantity on his Handicap debut. However he is still lightly raced and shaped with promise in a couple of starts. He won on the All-Weather in France and when seen there the last time a couple of weeks ago, he ran well in a hot race. Up in tip shouldn't be a problem given that he won over 10f on soft ground in the past. That say he could be anything today, but given his nice AW profile, he is quite a big price.
Dominandros @ 12/1 William Hill - 5pts win
Lyn Valley @ 14/1 Bet365 - 5pts win
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Nice winner yesterday with Street Artist, who won really well and much easier than expected. The perception that he has more to offer and a big chance quickly turned out under a penalty was right. He travelled much the best in hands of Joe Fanning and drew clear in the closing stages. The handicapper will probably catch up with him now, though
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