19.45 Wolverhampton: Handicap (12f, Class 3)
Esteaming: Tailed off in November Handicap, fair form over the summer without winning, career highest required on first AW career start. Good chance to take to surface on pedigree.
The Lock Master: CD winner but disappointing last four starts since winning at Southwell.
Uramazin: Poor form on return after break earlier this month and poor in handful of starts since good 2nd in hot Kempton Handicap. Never won over 12f and AW. Age may catch up.
Aladdins Cave: Veteran on good mark judged on old form, fine AW record over 12f. Below par in last two runs on Dundalk All-Weather.
Personal Opinion: Two from two on the AW, still lightly raced. Poor on turf this summer. Needs to prove he is up to current mark, but return to All-Weather sure to suit.
Art Scholar: Okay form in last number of starts without coming close to win. Up in trip should suit but looks not particularly well handicapped at the moment.
Vivat Rex: Won good maiden for Aiden O’Brien at Galway this year. Found out in subsequent Listed race and long way beaten for new yard in Listed race earlier this month. Looks lazy type but lightly raced and opening mark fair.
Cerutty: Lightly raced CD maiden winner earlier this month, very taking performance and third in Kempton maiden behind Kalaatah (subsequent fourth in Listed race) looks very good form. Mark could be lenient.
Verdict: Not too many seem to have a realistic chance to go close. Godolphin's Personal Opinion proves popular in the betting given that the yard is in form and that he loves it here at Wolverhampton. He sure should improve from his last poor showings on turf, but neither his current handicap mark nor his price look generous. Cerutty is a very interesting runner. I fancy him to run a big race after broke his maiden tag over CD recently, with the runner-up a subsequent winner. Cerutty's performance on his subsequent start when third behind exciting Kalaatah rates a big one too and it is possible that an opening mark of 82 is lenient. For all, this is much tougher today nonetheless and he looks only a fair price to me. Vivat Rex may improve from his UK debut now going handicapping, but I like to see something from him before it is possible to judge properly. Top weight Esteaming looks overpriced though. A career highest is expected, but his form this year was pretty consistent and good in tough Handicaps bar when a long way beaten in the November handicap recently. A switch to the All-Weather is interesting and on pedigree should very much suit. If it can bring out a bit improvement, he'll go very close. Worry is obviously the weight he has to give away.
Esteaming @ 5/1 Coral - 5pts win
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