Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Thursday the 29th of November...

19.05 Kempton: Hesperides @ 17/2 VC - 3pts win

 Big step up in trip for this filly but she is very interesting for that reason in this field. She's completely unexposed over this sort of trip, doing well over much shorter distances this year and improving well enough through her 3yo campaign. She got off the mark in a Kempton maiden over 12f in August and confirmed this decent performance with two fine placed efforts on turf then. I liked particularly her effort at Lingfield at the end of September, her most recent start. She was outpaced there on more than one occasion in that race but really made an eye-catching move between five and three furlongs out, coming from well off the pace to try and peg back the leader. The leader, also the eventual winner of the race, was not to catch though and she finished 3rd in the end but she clearly ran on well and and was full of running crossing the line. On that evidence it looks as if she is crying out for a step up in distance. Well, from 12f up to 2m is a massive step up indeed but her pedigree gives her a fine chance to stay the trip as her sire has had some fine success with stayers like Opinion Poll or also Cavalryman and her dam won over 13f at Lingfield's All-Weather. So I think that makes Hesperides a very interesting chance in this race here at her very first try over 2 miles. She is open to natural improvement anyway and if she stays the distance she could be quite hard to beat I feel.

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