18.10 Dundalk: Handicap (5f, 3YO plus)
Sylvan Mist: CD winner in January of 2lb lower, good fifth in big Curragh Handicap in September, found out for class in listed race last month here. This more realistic and entitled to go close.
Strategic Heights: Goes well at this track, last win off 4lb lower but placed off higher. Fair 4th in close finish, having loads to do from the back of the field. Drop to 5f should suit and competitive here.
Canon Law: Irish debut, didn’t set world alight in UK. Drop to 5f not sure to suit.
National Service: Won poor 5f maiden at Kempton last, followed with close defeat of mark off 70 on Nursery debut. Rather lost his way since and badly outpaced over 5f last month at Lingfield.
Danz Gift: Lightly raced, finished eye-catchingly three weeks ago on handicap debut when slowly into stride and loads to do turning for home. More to come and chance of same, but needs to improve in this field.
Majestic Timeline: Goes well this track. Won off 3lb lower last winter. Disappointing last three starts but may come on for recent outing after break. On realistic mark.
Speed Dream: Veteran who has never won on AW but fair 4th here over CD lto. Chance to go well from bottom weight.
Verdict: Top weight Sylvan Mist found life tough in a CD Listed race but her performances before should ensure that she has a big shot in this race, given that she is down to a handy mark and goes usually very well at this track. She was a good deal beaten by current favourite Strategic Heights back in February, but a 11lb swing in the weights should help to turn the table. The latter one rates a big danger nonetheless. Strategic Heights finished a close 4th recently and the drop in trip is sure to suit today. He had loads to do the last time and if he is in striking distance turning for home this time, he'll be a major contender. Lightly raced Danz Gift has obvious claims after a promising handicap debut. She has to start better though and needs to improve a bit against some tougher rivals. But she looks progressive and should run well. Majestic Timeline is not to underestimate. She will come on for her recent run after a break and she is down on a fair mark. Speed Dream should run his race but needs to have things fall absolutely right for him to win in this field. Canon Law and National Service have loads to do on form and ratings. That says the 4/1 for Sylvan Mist appear too big in the field.
Sylvan Mist @ 4/1 Betfred - 5pts win
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