Wednesday, February 5, 2014

Bets for Wednesday the 5th of February 2014

14.30 Lingfield: Tanojin @ 20/1 Paddy Power - 1pt win

Tanojin was eye-catching on his handicap debut over sharp 6f at Wolverhampton. It was a bit rough over 5f out for him, yet he travelled strongly for the rest of the race, made a big move on the outside from 3f out and finished the race strongly in second, just the front-runner with the run of the race was not to peg back. He stepped up to 7f at Lingfield lto, trailed the field and had an awful lot to do turning for home, when he also got slightly bumped approaching the home straight and soon after even more so badly hampered, which all together robbed him any chance to finish the race better than he did. He's better than this form suggest in my mind, even though that race looks a strong one, considering how well it worked out so far. Further step up in trip should suit, tomorrow over the mile, and while the favourite looks extremely hard to beat turned out quickly under a penalty, i still feel Tanojin is a very big price for an unexposed young horse that showed some promise and should improve for the new trip. The smaller field should suit too and while I'm not the biggest fan of William Twiston Davis, his 3lb claim is a nice bonus here tomorrow and not to forget that he has ridden 3 winners from 7 rides for Mick Channon.


16.40 Lingfield: The Happy Hammer @ 8/1 Boylesports - 2pts win

The Happy Hammer comes down to a really handy looking mark since he got another pound off since his last pretty strong and eye-catching run. He raced in midfield at Kempton that day, looked well enough approaching the home turn but was then a clear run denied, in fact he had absolutely nowhere to go, until almost the final furlong marker, when space finally emerged and he powered home strongly, however the race was over at that point. Yet this was a very nice performance confirming he could soon win a race of now 4lb below hist last winning mark. Add the useful 3lb claim of Robert Tart and The Happy Hammer looks really dangerous tomorrow.

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