Thursday, February 20, 2014

BBOTD - Friday 21st February 2014

Novabridge was unlucky yesterday. Went off a 20/1 chance, awkward start from the wide draw, had to settle in rear which is always adisadvantage over the sharp 5f trip at Kempton, and then had an awful lot to do approaching the home straight, but came through the whole field finishing extremely strong in 2nd. Newtown Cross much in contract was a big disappointment. 


20.30 Wolverhampton: Appease @ 7/2 Bet365 - 3pts win

I do really fancy the favourite Appease but also the second favourite Excellent Puck. The latter ones last two performance definitely caught my eye but he probably run only to the current mark and might not be a big deal ahead. Could be a different story with Appease. he ran a huge race on his first start since September over course and distance eleven days ago. He travelled strongly, while not in the best position when the eventual winner who had the run of the race kicked on from the front and got a break which made the difference in the end. Appease made ground turning slightly wider than ideal for home and looked extremely strong from 2f out, motoring home. He might got a bit tired inside the final furlong, and lost narrowly out on 2nd place but still was less than a lengths beaten by the winner. First and second were 84 & 85 rated animals at that time, so it's fair to say he run to a mark pretty close to that. So it's a big chance given by the handicapper to be able to race off the same 77 mark tomorrow, even more so with natural improvement expected on only his fifth start. Tom Queally is in the saddle again, he has a fine record with John Butter, so that's another plus for Appease's chance.

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