15.40 Hamilton: Konzert @ 10/1 StanJames - 3pts win
Lightly raced Konzert must have a big chance conceding loads of weight from the other eight rivals here. He comes into this race after a really good performance at Wolverhampton, and with his US pedigree I would have liked to see him appearing on the All-Weather again, but there is something suggesting he could appreciate a bit of cut in the ground as well, as his sire's best performance came on slower ground actually, so he's of high interest here today I feel. Konzert didn't show too much in his first five starts, but looked very much improved last time out, as well as down to a mark he is capable off winning. He was slightly outpaced soon after the start, trailing the field for a long way, and as a result he faced an impossible task turning for home, and in fact the eventual winner travelled all the way from the front and wasn't to catch. But Konzert really made some eye-catching ground once straighten up in the home straight suggesting he's ready to strike sooner rather than later. Today he's facing older horses for the first time, but with the weight for age allowance, as well as his low mark plus the assistance of a decent 3lb claimer in the saddle he should really be poised to run a big race. I fear the threat of I'm Super Too most, as that one looks dangerously well weighted now. But fairly confident in my selection today, thinking 10/1 is a huge price.
No comments :
Post a Comment