Saturday, July 27, 2013

Horseracing Selections: Saturday 27th of July...

15.50 Ascot: Ducal @ 40/1 Bet365 - 1pt win

Still a turf maiden but I thought he ran with credit on a couple of occasions, particularly in his last two starts when he really caught my eye. He was unlucky at Newmarket in his penultimate start, when not getting the clearest of runs in the closing stages, but had absolutely everything against himself at Haydock three weeks ago in a hugely competitive Handicap. He travelled like a dream that day, poised for a big challenge, but didn't get a run through whatsoever. While the eventual winner and 2nd also had to sit and suffer, they got out over 1f out though, Ducal had no real chance in contrast, yet once in a clear, which was very late indeed then, he finished easily in a way that suggests he's well handicapped. So in terms of that, I think he could reverse the form with Ashaadd, who is 2nd favourite for this race here today, while Ducal is a huge 40/1 chance. Bit of luck is required in such a huge Handicap, and usually this is not my cup of tea, but Ducal is way too big in my mind and if things pan out for him today, he'll be right up in the shake-up.


20.00 Lingfield: Comedy House @ 8/1 Betfair - 2 pts win

Frustrating sort this Comedy House but interesting here today back over 2m on the All-Weather on the back of an impressive performance at Newbury three weeks ago. He travelled well in rear but was left with a bit to do turning for home and looked slightly outpaced when the pace increased over 3f out, he stayed on really well though, was unlucky then to have a bunch of horses in front of the nose over 2f out and couldn't get a run through. He switched to the outside 1f out, a manoeuvre that cost ground, but ran on strongly there to finish 2nd in the end. The 3rd of this race won since then a Handicap and the winner went close, so form looks solid.

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