Mount Tiger looks a solid favourite. He won very well indeed a Wolverhampton maiden a couple of weeks ago over 9f. He travelled well in a prominent position and while they went a decent clip he looked comfortable all the way through the race. He kicked on 3f out and never stopped to win with authority in the end in impressive style. He should improve for the step up in trip to 10f today but it has to be said his opening mark of 79 looks stiff enough and while he could be very much capable of this handicap mark I feel he is only a fair price, best priced at 7/2 at the moment. The Kieron Fallon ridden Pleasure Bent is on a hat-rick. He won on his second start at Warwick and followed up with a hard fought win at Newbury, when he didn't have the run of the race. He might improve further for the step up in trip, but he also has to defy a new mark and steps up in class. He could get found out for this combination tonight. Leitrim Pass didn't disappoint in his last two outings in Handicap company and should be better over the new trip as he looked pretty one paced in all his starts. He has a chance, but he has to raise his game substantially to win I feel, as his mark got up 1lb for his most recent effort and he's therefore rather a fair price, but no value in my mind.
This brings me to our NAP of the Day: Mighty Yar! The Henry/Lady Cecil trained grey colt has been off the track for a good while, but this shouldn't hinder him to run a big race. He won first time out on his debut last November and Lady Cecil is flying at the moment. Tom Queally on board speaks volumes as well. Mighty Yar was hugely impressive winning on his racecourse debut at Lingfield, when he overcame greenness as well as a wide draw and a trip probably probably too sharp for him. He made a big move from 4f out on the outside of the field, travelling four or five wide for a while. As a result he also had to turn wide but once he found his stride he was never to stop and won very well going away from the rest of the field pretty easily in the closing stages. The step up to 10f looks very much in his favoure today and his opening mark could be lenient. He's therefore a really good price in my mind and should be shorter in the betting market.
20.15 Sandown Park: Nr. 4 - Mighty Yar
Bets: 3pts win @ 7/2 BetVictor
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