Saturday the 29th of June...

 Choral Prince, recent Kempton winner, is a strong chance at Doncaster

Lovely win for Tax Free at Newmarket tonight @ 16/1! Still can't believe the price Ladbrokes offered last night. Was absolutely massive. I wasn't the only one who thought so and therefore Tax Free was very well back over the whole day and went off an 8/1 chance eventually. He travelled then very well through the race, taking a prominent position and Tom Queally gave the 11 year old veteran a peach of a ride, keeping him together as long as possible. Tax Free won it in a photo in the end, had it by a good nose. This win draws further profit to the blog and it looks now likely that July will achieve an all time monthly high. It's 68 points profit this month so far!  

Unfortunately the biggest bet of the day was a flop though. I had high hopes in Floralys, who travelled very well then for a long time of the race but faded badly in the closing stages for whatever reason. The winner had the run of the race from the front though, so it's not everything lost in this case and she can clearly win a race but I would be wary of backing her the next time...



17.10 Windsor: Frognal @ 14/1 Betfair - 1pt win

Frognal changed yards recently what is a big worry as the new trainer looks useless on stats. But I thought Frognal is down to a very tempting mark, has a decent 5lb claimer booked and comes here on the back of a really interesting performance in much higher grade. He travelled really well in a class 3 Handicap at Yarmouth earlier this month and looked in with a good chance to go really close approaching the 2f marker but got then very badly hampered and completely blocked. He lost his momentum and every chance to finish the race in a good way as a result. His performance looked much better than the bare result of this race suggests though and therefore I think he could go very well tomorrow in this class 5 handicap, with conditions to suit.


18.05 Doncaster: Choral Prince @ 11/2 VC - 2pts win


I ignore what this horse has done until his most recent start at Kempton, when he won by a narrow margin on paper, but with with ease in reality. Choral Prince stepped up to 12f for the first time that day, racing mainly over 1m before, and he responded in the best possible manner to the new trip. He travelled nicely in rear, and made easily ground in the home straight, always travelling very much the best. Once switched to get a clear view he had only to be pushed out, hands and heels ridden, to go to the front and finish full of running to win with authority. He gets 10lb for this in theory, but his turf mark was that high before anyway, so not really that much of a change. He didn't win on turf yet, but there isn't really an issue with the surface I suppose as he finished 2nd in a Yarmouth maiden and should be much better now over the 12f trip. He's still very much unexposed over this sort of trip and with decent apprentice Michael J M Murphy taking the ride, who claims very valuable 5lb, I thin he's still a slightly too big price in this race.