19.40 Windsor: Short Squeeze @ 12/1 Bet365 - 1pt win
Royal Windsor Racecourse |
This looks an open race with some lightly and unexposed horses in the field, the favourite could be on a lenient mark anyway, but I like the chance of Short Squeeze as the bottom weight, going down in trip for a price I'd consider too big. Short Squeeze was an eye-catcher already in his penultimate run at Nottingham, when he was a bit unlucky, not getting the run of the race while travelling super well actually, much in contrast to the eventual winner. He stepped up in trip for his most recent race at Goodwood, which was clearly the wrong thing in hindsight. He was very much out of control soon after the start, refusing to settle and pulling his way to the front. The jockey allowed him to stride on and they got an easy time at the front, even though setting a fast pace. Short Squeeze really kicked on from 5f out, gaining a big lead and having the whole field soon after on the stretch, while travelling very well himself still, just until the 2f marker when the bubble burst and he faded, paying tribute to the pace and to what happened after the start. It looks a wise move going down to 1m now, which should allow Short Squeeze to settle better. He gets also 1lb off his mark, and could run a big race as feather weight in this race, as he should relish the likely fast pace here.
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