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| Amana at Kempton - best chance on Monday |
14.50 Kempton: Amana @ 3/1 Bet365 - 4pts win
This 9yo mare looks well ahead of the handicapper at the moment I feel, thanks to her slipping mark after a couple of poor performances. She probably would have taken advantage of her low rating already last week if the race would have been ran a little bit more to suit. She was travelling super well in rear but it soon became clear that it could be a difficult task from this position as the race was ran at a crawl for a long time. And indeed the over the course of the race mostly in second racing Time Square won the race in the end. Amana in contrast had loads to do turning for home and was also locked on the inside almost until approaching the 2f marker. When she got racing room she made stylishly headway, running on in very impressive fashion under a strong hands and heels ride finishing much the best of all to take 2nd place in the end. Only a horse in good shape that is well handicapped would be able to finish a race in that way under these circumstances. It's a big field again tomorrow and it's easy enough to encounter in-running trouble in these sort of field sizes but there is no doubt that she has a couple of pounds in hand and that hopefully is sees her finishing this race on top in the end.
16.20 Kempton: Prince Of Burma @ 6/1 Ladbrokes - 2pts win
Prince Of Burma was very unlucky on his most recent start at Lingfield one month ago. He travelled much the best but didn't get a run whatsoever in the closing stages. The way he travelled indicates that he's poised to win soon which confirms the look of his actual handicap mark which looks handy enough again. He didn't win for over a year but he's 3lb below his last winning mark now. He also showed some decent enough performances in better races of higher marks, so there is no doubt that he can be competitive in a class 4 handicap like this which looks not overly strong anyway, apart of the Botti horse which might be still ahead of the handicapper. But if you take that one out I'd say Prince Of Burma is the one to beat, so if the hot favourite fails for whatever reason, Prince Of Burma will be right there I hope.
17.30 Wolverhampton: Rockgoat @ 12/1 - 2pts win
Rockgoat is well overpriced in my mind. This Rock Of Gibraltar son looks frustrating but in the same way he's coming down to a very handy mark on the back of a decent performance and is also not overly often raced yet, so there is some hope for him I feel. His most recent 3rd place, however quite a way beaten, is better than the bare form might suggest. It was a strange ran race from a pace angle I thought and the front-running/prominent racing Rockgoat was taken on for the lead 2f after the start by the later on badly fading Fighter Boy. Rockgoat was also a bit keen but travelled still very well approaching the home straight and was there in with every chance but was then baldy hampered by the eventual 2nd. He lost his rhythm but held on for 3rd place, a long way clear of the rest of the field. God knows what have happened with a clear run. Anyway, he gets another pound off the mark for this effort, Graham Lee is booked for the ride, not for nothing I suppose, and after Rockgoat had to carry probably too much weight throughout the whole last year after a decent maiden win, he should be now competitive of his current mark in a race like this.
This 9yo mare looks well ahead of the handicapper at the moment I feel, thanks to her slipping mark after a couple of poor performances. She probably would have taken advantage of her low rating already last week if the race would have been ran a little bit more to suit. She was travelling super well in rear but it soon became clear that it could be a difficult task from this position as the race was ran at a crawl for a long time. And indeed the over the course of the race mostly in second racing Time Square won the race in the end. Amana in contrast had loads to do turning for home and was also locked on the inside almost until approaching the 2f marker. When she got racing room she made stylishly headway, running on in very impressive fashion under a strong hands and heels ride finishing much the best of all to take 2nd place in the end. Only a horse in good shape that is well handicapped would be able to finish a race in that way under these circumstances. It's a big field again tomorrow and it's easy enough to encounter in-running trouble in these sort of field sizes but there is no doubt that she has a couple of pounds in hand and that hopefully is sees her finishing this race on top in the end.
16.20 Kempton: Prince Of Burma @ 6/1 Ladbrokes - 2pts win
Prince Of Burma was very unlucky on his most recent start at Lingfield one month ago. He travelled much the best but didn't get a run whatsoever in the closing stages. The way he travelled indicates that he's poised to win soon which confirms the look of his actual handicap mark which looks handy enough again. He didn't win for over a year but he's 3lb below his last winning mark now. He also showed some decent enough performances in better races of higher marks, so there is no doubt that he can be competitive in a class 4 handicap like this which looks not overly strong anyway, apart of the Botti horse which might be still ahead of the handicapper. But if you take that one out I'd say Prince Of Burma is the one to beat, so if the hot favourite fails for whatever reason, Prince Of Burma will be right there I hope.
17.30 Wolverhampton: Rockgoat @ 12/1 - 2pts win
Rockgoat is well overpriced in my mind. This Rock Of Gibraltar son looks frustrating but in the same way he's coming down to a very handy mark on the back of a decent performance and is also not overly often raced yet, so there is some hope for him I feel. His most recent 3rd place, however quite a way beaten, is better than the bare form might suggest. It was a strange ran race from a pace angle I thought and the front-running/prominent racing Rockgoat was taken on for the lead 2f after the start by the later on badly fading Fighter Boy. Rockgoat was also a bit keen but travelled still very well approaching the home straight and was there in with every chance but was then baldy hampered by the eventual 2nd. He lost his rhythm but held on for 3rd place, a long way clear of the rest of the field. God knows what have happened with a clear run. Anyway, he gets another pound off the mark for this effort, Graham Lee is booked for the ride, not for nothing I suppose, and after Rockgoat had to carry probably too much weight throughout the whole last year after a decent maiden win, he should be now competitive of his current mark in a race like this.
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