15.20 Kempton: Orpen'arry @ 7/1 Bet365 - 2pts win
Very encouraging return to the racetrack for Orpen'arry three weeks ago at Lingfield. He was off the track for more than a year, changed yards and came down a long way in the mark, in fact was racing of a career lowest mark that day. He made all from the front while travelling very well and was eventually only beaten by a strong winner who came from well off the pace, while Orpen'arry found more when headed and severely under pressure to secure 2nd place in the end. He's two pounds up for this, but he could be still well in, as he steps up to 12f for the first time. Not so much on pedigree suggests he is particularly likely to get the trip, but the way he rallied last time was impressive. Also on paper there isn't an awful lot of pace in this race, so he might be even able to get a soft lead. Only real concern for me is the bounce factor. But I take the risk, as I feel his price is too big.
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