17.30 Wolverhampton: Desert Strike @ 9/2 Bet365 - 4pts win
Desert Strike seems poised to win in my mind. Two of his last three performances where absolutely cracking in my mind. Most recently at Lingfield he had a wide draw, the others went off quick and he had to settle further off the pace than he would like. He was travelling extremely strongly in midfield then, but didn't get a run when it mattered. So he approached the home straight hard on the bridle, still no room to go, eventually approaching the final furlong marker he could find space to start a challenge, but this ended fairly soon after around half a furlong out when he was again short of room, he quickened again in a matter of strides close to the line. I think a horse of this rather low class wouldn't be able to quicken twice almost instantaneously over a sprinting trip if not in good form. His penultimate start was rather disappointing for whatever reason, but before that at Kempton he was extremely impressive again, when he had to settle in rear first but tried to make some ground approaching the final bend, but got there badly hampered, jockey had to take a hard pull, and Desert Strike lost completely his rhyhm and stride, but he found it back and stayed on strongly in the closing stages. He's now down to his last winning mark of 69 - hist latest success came at Lingfield in January - and his record at Wolverhampton is decent enough, he won here over course and distance a couple of times in the past. A better draw and not too much obvious pace should help him to get a position in front of the field or at least close to the pace, which is a huge advantage at Wolverhampton at the moment.
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