Saturday, March 23, 2013

Sunday the 24th of March...

14.40 Lingfield: Buy Art @ 7/2 bet365 - 3pts win

Buy Art is much better then what he showed so far in his career and looks underestimated in this small field in my mind. His last two performances are not really ones to take seriously as there are excuses to make for him for why he finished a good deal beaten twice. I thought he travelled very well at Wolverhampton last month anyway, having every chance turning for home but found himself suddenly in a bad position in the home straight with a bunch of horses in front of his nose and no way to go through. His jockey clearly looked after him and didn't asked for a serious effort when finally a gap opened over 1f out because the bird was flown anyway at that stage. The penultimate race was a story of getting a run under the belt after a long break I think. He was never ridden to finish the race in the best possible position in addition to his probable unfitness. With two runs under his belt he should strip much fitter now and the drop in the weights will a big help as well. He races of a mark of 62 now and drops in grade, Ryan Moore is on board for the ride, so plenty to like about him and therefore I expect him to go really well here. It takes nothing special to beat the other two in this field anyway.


 16.10 Lingfield: Elna Bright @ 12/1 Bet365 - 1pt win

Big price I think. Thought he ran a tremendous race at Kempton three weeks ago, which clearly was a return to form. He bounced out off the gates and led the field by a very good pace. The final time of the race was 0.47 seconds faster than the standard, yet Elna Bright travelled well and fought hard when headed inside the final two furlongs. He just got tired in the final couple of yards but finished still a very creditable 3rd. He didn't win for a while but down into a class 4 handicap he looks to have every chance of his current mark to find back to the winning ways I think.

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