Thursday, January 23, 2014

Bests on Thursday 23rd Januray 2014

19.30 Kempton: Divine Call @ 9/2 Paddy Power - 4pts win

 Divine Call has been extremely unlucky in his last two runs and really gave me the impression that he is poised to win. In fact if he is not well handicapped, who is? At Wolverhampton on his penultimate start he was trailing behind a big field and had a whole bunch of horses in front of his nose when turning for home with nowhere to go, his headway after approaching the home turn was then stopped quickly when he got locked on the inside rail while it appeared to me that with a clear run he would have won that race. He looked the best horse, no doubt. Switching to Kempton didn't prove a problem, and why it should, he won here already in the past. Again he travelled very well but had a bunch of horses in front of nose when it mattered around 2f out again, while not getting quite a smart ride by his jockey, who steered him in all sort of trouble. He had to wait for bit of room and as soon as this happened he switched to the left and produced a nice little turn of foot to finish a strong 3rd in the end. He is able to run of the same mark again tomorrow, which is a career lowest mark, and while his wide draw isn't ideal he might simply try to get a clear run on the outside this time and then he should really win I feel.


16.30 Kempton: Tammuz @ 20/1 bet365 - 1pt win

 Missed the 40/1 that were offered early on, but still this is a huge price. Tammuz didn't run to the form she showed in autumn when she run two really strong races, one at Wolverhampton where she was unlucky, and subsequently won at Kempton over 1m in really good style. She didn't follow up but I thought her most recent run was better than the result suggested. She travelled well enough until approaching the home turn and in the moment when she tried to make some headway and really find his stride she got badly bumped and lost completely his rhythm. She wasn't able to recover and was eased down. As a consequence she drops down to her last winning mark, when she won so well here at Kempton in October, and the step up to 1m will clearly help tomorrow. 


17.00 Kempton: Ryedale Lass @ 14/ Bet365 - 1pt win

 I thought Ryedale Lass run a big race of a career lowest mark last week when she overcame a wide draw to make all from the front. She travelled strongly approaching the 2f marker and had everyone else of the bridle. She just tired within the final furlong and finished 3 3/4 lengths beaten in the end but she really shaped as if she is back in form and can be competitive of this low mark in these poor class 7 handicaps. She gets another chance of this mark tomorrow and the drop in trip should suit considering the way she travelled last time out. It's an awful race and doesn't take much to win it, so if Ryedale Lass can run to the same form as she did one week ago, she must have a good chance of going really close.

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