20.30 Kempton: Fiducia @ 10/1 Ladbrokes - 2pts win
Looks a competitive little Handicap but Fiducia looks well overpriced, having the chance to race of a feather weight while looking well handicapped on her most recent start a couple of weeks ago. That day, over 7f here at Kempton, she had a wide draw to overcome and was also very unsettled in the first half of the race, pulling hard and making life tough for her jockey. She got into a nice rhythm from under 4f out then, though, and travelled pretty strongly approaching the home straight. She had loads to do however and had to come through the whole field from the rear. She really made eye-catching progress, just to get a bit tiered in the final furlong, most probably due to the energy she burnt in the early parts of the race. Yet this was a nice performance, and she looks a progressive filly. She is still generally lightly raced and entitled to improvement, even more so stepping up in trip tomorrow, for the first time to 1m. On pedigree this should be very much in her favour. As she showed nice form in her last races, really took on the All-Weather, is completely unexposed over the new trip, while open to improvement on pedigree for the distance as well as being able to race from bottom weight, I feel she has a massive chance to be successful in this race.
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