Monday, November 5, 2012

Tuesday 6th of November...

Had to wait a while to find that many good things as I've found for tomorrow. As you may have seen I'm pretty selective at the moment which means I don't have many bets of course. It's just a result of the end of the flat season and the start of the All-Weather season. I'm a bit cautious but also didn't find that many eye-catchers in recent weeks. It's also the case that I'm just waiting for the right chances as I said a couple of days ago, I have to improve my strike rate to increase the profit. That's what I do so it's very unlikely to find three good bets on one day and then even on one card. But it's the case tomorrow and I'm very hopeful for Tuesday. Should be a cracking day!


17.00 Wolverhampton: Filfil @ 5/2 Bet365
- 5pts win

Filfil looked talented when winning on his debut but couldn't quite confirm this promise in subsequent starts. His performance in his most recent start was eye-catching for me though. The race was ran at a slow pace, he took a keen hold early on and wasn't in the best position when the leaders kicked on. He ran on well in the closing stages though and finished 3rd in a hot handicap. Yet he gets 1lb off his mark as a result of this effort and should really be hard to beat in this race here tomorrow in consequence. It's a small field which means there is a question mark about the pace again but there might be the chance that he tries to make all from the front and I think this is a weaker race than the last one anyway.



6.30 Wolverhampton: Icebuster @ 4/1 Bet365
- 4pts win

This is really interesting horse. He caught my eye in his last three starts, which makes him a monster chance for me in this race. I though he should have won lto at Kempton when I would have liked to see a bit more aggressive ride by his jockey. But it wasn't to be that day, though you couldn't be more than impressed with his effort. He looks in tremendous form and the step up in trip trying 14f for the first time should really suit. This race looks a bit weaker than the races he contest recently on and I'm actually pretty confident in his chance, the only slight worry is that he might be a horse that usually travells well, stays on well in the closing stages then but just fails to win the races. We will see, he certainly deserves this chance tomorrow anyway.



19.30 Wolverhampton: Barton Bounty @ 5/1 Bet365 - 4pts win

He is in excellent form as he won here at Wolverhampton three weeks ago. He confirmed his well being with an amazing effort at Kempton just six days ago then which ensured him a place on my list. I always feel 10f at Kempton is a difficult trip for horses coming from behind. So it was no surprise to see Barton Bounty failing to make it two in a row. He travelled well enough in rear and his jockey knew 3f out he would have to gain some ground if he wants to have a chance to win. Barton Bounty made ground then turning for home, but had to do this wide around the whole field and had finish very wide as a result as well. He really finished like a train in the final furlong but it was just too late. It was a fantastic performance though and he is able to race of the same mark again tomorrow. He's never won of a high mark like that but he clearly demonstrated that he is up to it.

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