Friday, October 12, 2012

Saturday 13th of October...

Both horses have been non-runners on Friday, unfortunately. It's not the 'luckiest' week I really have to say anyway. My selections all go close - really close often enough - but they fail to get their noses in front on the line. A bit frustrating, but that's the game. I remain confident though, actually I'm really looking forward to tomorrow, Saturday. Not because of the big races at York or Newmarket but rather because I have two fantastic chances running at Wolverhampton in the evening...


18.15 Wolverhampton: Melodee Princess @ 14/1 Bet365 - 3 pts win

Melodee Princess was desperately unlucky at Wolverhampton two weeks ago. She really travelled very well in rear of the field, made a nice move 3f out on the outside of the field then and looked a real threat until she was simply locked 2f out. She had absolutely no way to go, no chance to switch to the outside and deliver a challenge. I assume she'd have gone very close with a clear run as she looked full of running with much more to give if Luke Morris would have been able to ask for everything. He wasn't able to do so though but Melodee Princess gets another chance tomorrow. She drops in class and is still lightly raced. She has the excellent assistance of DE Egan in the saddle who still claims very valuable 5lb as well. So I think she's very much overpriced.



19.45 Wolverhampton: Red Dragon @ 12/1 Bet365 - 2pts win

He showed nothing in his three maiden runs and the bare form of his handicap debut suggests he's a dog indeed but I thought It was an interesting performance actually. Red Dragon had to overcome the widest draw in that race at Kempton one month ago and was dropped right to the rear of the field but was also racing very wide the whole time of the race surprisingly. He tried to make a move 4f out but found it difficult to gain ground when the leaders kicked away off a slow pace. He didn't get a hard race and it was actually an unusual ride given by William Buick from a visual point of view. Red Dragon ultimately stayed on a bit gaining ground in the final furlong but was never really asked for a serious effort in this race. I don't want to say this was a non-trier but it looked suspicious to me and I suspect the horse to be much better than what he showed that day. His mark dropped by 2lb and I really think he should be very competitive of a lowly mark off 60 here tomorrow.

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