Sunday, November 3, 2013

Nap of the day: Mondy the 4th of November,,,


16.55 Wolverhampton: Konzert @ 8/1 Bet365 - 2pts win

 Konzert was backed like mad before his last start at Wolverhampton, opening at 25/1 and starting at 5/1 but then didn't quite get the run of the race having to travel very wide from 4f out while making a big move from that point onwards but having to turn widest of all for home and losing vital ground. The jockey soon realized entering the home straight that the horse wouldn't catch the leaders and eased him down, as it was pointless to beat the shit out of the horse only to finish fifth or something. To me he still looks a horse perfectly suited to the All-Weather surface anyway and he is open the improvement, being generally lightly raced. While Konzert didn't show too much in his first five starts, he looked then very much improved on his All-Weather debut, when showing dramatic improvement for the new surface. That day he was slightly outpaced soon after the start, trailing the field for a long way, and as a result faced an impossible task turning for home, and in fact the eventual winner travelled all the way from the front and wasn't to catch. But Konzert really made some eye-catching ground once straighten up in the home straight suggesting there is more to come on this surface and that he's ready to strike sooner rather than later. He couldn't back up this performance the next time, switching back to turf, when he finished a disappointing last, but ignoring that performance, I can see a horse with a massive debut performance on the All-Weather and an unlucky second run on that surface. Considering he is in the same form, he should be competitive getting also a chance by the handicapper as he's allowed to race off a 2lb lower mark tomorrow.

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