15.15 Goodwood: Sajjhaa @ 11/1 Bet365 - 2pts each/waySajjhaa looks really overpriced in my eyes and she posses an excellent chance to go really close I feel. She's a multiple Group 1 winner, with her biggest success the win in the Dubai Duty Free earlier this year. She was really impressive in Dubai on a couple of occasions and while she couldn't quite transfer this form to Hong Kong in Apoing for her that day. She missed the break, was pushed forward early on, settled then without much cover on the outside of the field, made a big move from around 700m out to get closer to the pace and was caught wide turning for home as a result, turning five, six wide. She found her stride once straighten up but had to pay the price for everything that happened before to her as she flattened in the final furlong, yet she finished a decent 4th.
Clearly she is a very talented mare and I think if she gets a clear run here today she'll win. Favourite Sky Lantern has to prove that she stays the trip and is way to short in the betting in my mind, while I can't get really warm with most of the other runners, even though I expect Just The Judge the biggest danger actually. Aiden O'Brien's Just Pretending is also an interesting runner.
But back to Sajjhaa, who had a little break since her run in Hong Kong, what shouldn't be a problem, and might be even a positive thing as she's done usually well coming off a break, like this year when she won a Group 2 at Meydan, or last year when she finished runners-up in the G2 Middleton Stakes after being ten month off. Slight worry is De Sousa in the saddle, because he isn't really successful at Goodwood, which can be a difficult track to ride. But that aside I can't see too much that speaks against her in this race and I expect her to go really close.
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