Monday, July 1, 2013

Tuesday the 2nd of July...

16.00 Hamilton: Beacon Lodge @ 5/1 Paddy Power - 2pts win 

Beacon Lodge doesn't get any younger but this small field might play into his hands. I thought he showed a very impressive return to form at Ayr recently over 1m, when he travelled very well in the middle of the pack and looked to have a huge chance of winning the race but he found himself in a very difficult position where he couldn't get out and had to sit and suffer until very late when finally a bit of room emerged and he finished very strongly indeed. I think he would have taken this race with a clear run. So I think he can give the very short favourite a real race here tomorrow. Quick Wit looks to prefer a bit further actually and it is a possiblity that there won't be too much of pace on here tomorrow, which should then be in favour of Beacon Lodge i would like to think. Of course he has loads to find on ratings with the favourite, but for me it doesn't look all that clear as the odds are suggesting.

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