Thursday, June 27, 2013

Friday the 28th of June...

14.50 Yarmouth: Floralys @ 5/1 Bet365 - 3pts win

Still a maiden after 11 races but was massively eye-catching at Lingfield recently. Floralys got badly outpaced early on in rear of the field and was- never travelling. She looked to go absolutely nowhere even approaching the 1f marker, but then she found her stride, forced her way through a tiny gap 1/2f out and finished full of running and a fantastic 4th on the line. There is no doubt that she's crying out for a step up in trip and thankfully she gets her chance over 1m tomorrow at Yarmouth. Her mark looks low enough, the additional 1lb compared to last time won't make any difference and Jamie Spencer is booked which speaks for itself. The race looks not overly strong and Floralys should run a big race really.


21.10 Newmarket: Tax Free @ 16/1 Ladbrokes - 1pt win

Tax Free - the veteran looks almost as good as ever
Can't help myself but this looks a massive price. Tax Free looks as good as ever to me and is still capable of winning these type of races, particularly of his current mark I think. He ran a huge race at Nottingham earlier this month, when he finished 2nd to an improver who had also the run of the race from the front on the rails. I thought Tax Free looked unlucky at Ayr lto when he travelled nicely but got hampered over 2f out and couldn't recover from that.

It's fair to assume that he's much better than the bare form of that race suggest and with conditions in favour tomorrow, as he gets his beloved fast ground and goes very well at Newmarket with Queally booked, I think he can be a lively danger to the short favourite. Asian Trader might be well in the weights here, but he was beaten last time out at Salisbury while having the run of the race and absolutely every chance. So it could be well the case that he's simply fairly handicapped and therefore too short in the market, while Tax Free should enjoy to be back at an open track like Newmarket. 

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