18.20 Kempton: Litmus @ 5/1 Bet365 - 5pts win
I expect this horse to hack up tomorrow as long as she gets a clear run. Might sound like a brave statement for a filly that hasn't won a single race in ten starts. Her last two performances were really eye-catching though and there is no doubt that she's way better than her current mark and better than the horses she's contesting against tomorrow. Eight days ago at Lingfield she travelled smoothly in mid-field actually and looked very dangerous turning for home, didn't have a chance to get a clear run and unleash a challenge however. She was simply locked on the inside as Spining Ridge went alongside her to the right and as a result of that she couldn't get out there. There was no room in front of her either, as the front pair was battling out the win, but there was no gap to squeeze through (very impressive to see in the head on if you recorded the replay on TV). That was just very unlucky as she was going much the strongest 1f out and one could only have the feeling her jockey had still loads of horse beneath. This confirmed the strong performance in her penultimate start, as well at Lingfield, then over 10f though, when she went from the front that day, setting a pretty decent pace and having everyone off the bridle 4f out while going strongly herself turning for home, just to tire badly very deep inside the final furlong to finish 4th in the end. The 1m trip is more suitable anyway and as she's contesting over this tomorrow and dropping into class 7 company, being able of racing of the bottom weight I feel she can't get beaten here if things go normal as she has no problem with attitude I think. It only can be a bonus that Hayley Turner gets the leg up as she enjoys a healthy 19% strike rate with trainer S. Dow for the past 12 month.
I expect this horse to hack up tomorrow as long as she gets a clear run. Might sound like a brave statement for a filly that hasn't won a single race in ten starts. Her last two performances were really eye-catching though and there is no doubt that she's way better than her current mark and better than the horses she's contesting against tomorrow. Eight days ago at Lingfield she travelled smoothly in mid-field actually and looked very dangerous turning for home, didn't have a chance to get a clear run and unleash a challenge however. She was simply locked on the inside as Spining Ridge went alongside her to the right and as a result of that she couldn't get out there. There was no room in front of her either, as the front pair was battling out the win, but there was no gap to squeeze through (very impressive to see in the head on if you recorded the replay on TV). That was just very unlucky as she was going much the strongest 1f out and one could only have the feeling her jockey had still loads of horse beneath. This confirmed the strong performance in her penultimate start, as well at Lingfield, then over 10f though, when she went from the front that day, setting a pretty decent pace and having everyone off the bridle 4f out while going strongly herself turning for home, just to tire badly very deep inside the final furlong to finish 4th in the end. The 1m trip is more suitable anyway and as she's contesting over this tomorrow and dropping into class 7 company, being able of racing of the bottom weight I feel she can't get beaten here if things go normal as she has no problem with attitude I think. It only can be a bonus that Hayley Turner gets the leg up as she enjoys a healthy 19% strike rate with trainer S. Dow for the past 12 month.
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