Sunday, September 30, 2012

New start for horseracing-international.com...

New look, new format... this site certainly needed a restart and here it is. I wasn't quite sure what to do with this site and therefore not much happened in recent weeks. From now on this site will be a site with a pretty puristic focus of attention: Finding winners! Which means I'll write about what I'm best at: Finding eye-catchers - or better to say - finding horses that ran better than the bare result suggested in their races and who could be potentially interesting next time out. In the last two month or so I changed my betting completely, put the form study away and solely concentrated on visual impression. Sure, in the aftermath a check of the form-book is vital but in first glance a horse has to catch my eye indeed. It's that simple for me because the form-book tells a story of course, but usually it's only a limited one, missing the most important thing: the visual truth. They say in football "the truth is on the pitch". And so it is for racing. 

Before I changed by betting style I had to accept the fact that I had no edge about the general betting public any longer with the way I was approaching the game. Working intensively through the form book is simply not enough any more. This game is too complex, the general racing public gets more and more educated and is capable or reading the form-book as well. Sure, you can still come to different conclusions, but in general it's difficult to find value using this old method I think. It's what leading professional punters are agreeing about as well. The difference to my new approach is though: Sure, racing replays are out there free for everyone. But it is much more a matter of opinion how to judge the performance of a horse in a race, judging the pace and so on. If I see things in a race, or draw a conclusion, that others are not seeing - of course this goes still along with the form-book to some extend - I simply have and edge, I have an advantage probably. What I mean is: Visual impression is very much a subjective thing. It's very much dependent on your own evaluation. This is not an easy thing though. It's time consuming, and exhausting, you need to be fully concentrated and have to watch certain parts of races again and again. But it goes along with my passion for the sport. I love to watch racing. So it's not entirely considered as work for me. But that was very much the case with long and extensive form study before. Now I watch races, find interesting horses, check then the form-book, but the visual performance always is the most important part. The form-book only delivers some facts about the horses, but the visual performance is decisive for me.

When I started my new approach of betting I wasn't sure what to expect. I had an idea, though. Because I knew horses of my eye-catcher list - work I did before already as you can see - were usually running very well. But of course it's still a different thing to concentrate entirely on this sort of approach. During a "trial period" of 8-10 weeks I regained my confidence and found out that my betting was never so precise, profit orientated and focused now. Profits were massive and even though the trial periode wasn't that long It really gave me a feeling that this is surely the right way forward.  

So from now on I'll post my tips and bets here on this blog again (in addition to the At The Races forum on the punterslounge where I did it already before). My confidence and joy of the game is back and I'm pretty sure this blog will show up some nice profit.

Important things to know about my bets here on the blog: Generally I bet win only, and stakes will be 1-10pts maximum. Selections posted here are strongly fancied by myself of course. There will be days, sometimes even weeks without a bet, if I don't find a really strong chance, though. 

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